Counterfactual

The Parallel Lives of Ava and Carrie

In 7,732 girls, Ava found its level. 50 years earlier, Carrie occupied that same statistical address.

1880–2025

Ava

peak 2007 2025 18801900192019401960198020002020
Peak year 2007
Peak births 18,053
Latest count 7,732
Status Declining
Peak generation Gen Z
1880–2025

Carrie

peak 1977 2025 18801900192019401960198020002020
Peak year 1977
Peak births 8,661
Latest count 63
Status Endangered
Peak generation Gen X
In 7,732 girls, Ava found its level. 50 years earlier, Carrie occupied that same address. One peaked in the Gen X era; the other in the Gen Z world. They never met. But the data remembers them both.