Counterfactual

The Parallel Lives of Carmelita and Mackenzie

In 14 girls, Carmelita found its level. 50 years earlier, Mackenzie occupied that same statistical address.

1887–2025

Carmelita

peak 1973 2025 1900192019401960198020002020
Peak year 1973
Peak births 140
Latest count 14
Status Declining
Peak generation Gen X
1973–2025

Mackenzie

peak 2001 2025 1900192019401960198020002020
Peak year 2001
Peak births 6,934
Latest count 1,343
Status Declining
Peak generation Gen Z
In 14 girls, Carmelita found its level. 50 years earlier, Mackenzie occupied that same address. One peaked in the Gen Z era; the other in the Gen X world. They never met. But the data remembers them both.