Counterfactual

The Parallel Lives of Ella and Tonya

In 5,831 girls, Ella found its level. 50 years earlier, Tonya occupied that same statistical address.

1880–2025

Ella

peak 2010 2025 18801900192019401960198020002020
Peak year 2010
Peak births 9,884
Latest count 5,831
Status Declining
Peak generation Gen Z
1923–2025

Tonya

peak 1972 2025 18801900192019401960198020002020
Peak year 1972
Peak births 7,244
Latest count 11
Status Endangered
Peak generation Gen X
In 5,831 girls, Ella found its level. 50 years earlier, Tonya occupied that same address. One peaked in the Gen X era; the other in the Gen Z world. They never met. But the data remembers them both.