Counterfactual

The Parallel Lives of Lincoln and Juan

In 4,703 boys, Lincoln found its level. 50 years earlier, Juan occupied that same statistical address.

1880–2025

Lincoln

peak 2017 2025 18801900192019401960198020002020
Peak year 2017
Peak births 8,202
Latest count 4,703
Status Declining
Peak generation Gen Alpha
1880–2025

Juan

peak 2005 2025 18801900192019401960198020002020
Peak year 2005
Peak births 8,231
Latest count 2,318
Status Stable
Peak generation Gen Z
Lincoln and Juan peaked in the same cultural weather — the Gen Alpha naming world. They are not replacements; they are siblings separated by 50 years, occupying the same statistical address at different addresses in time.