Counterfactual

The Parallel Lives of Shasta and Bailey

In 5 girls, Shasta found its level. 50 years earlier, Bailey occupied that same statistical address.

1926–2025

Shasta

peak 1979 2025 192019401960198020002020
Peak year 1979
Peak births 235
Latest count 5
Status Endangered
Peak generation Gen X
1916–2025

Bailey

peak 1998 2025 192019401960198020002020
Peak year 1998
Peak births 5,198
Latest count 1,446
Status Declining
Peak generation Gen Z
Shasta and Bailey peaked in the same cultural weather — the Gen X naming world. They are not replacements; they are siblings separated by 50 years, occupying the same statistical address at different addresses in time.